Portal vein thrombosis compromises the performance of MELD and MELD-Na scores in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The accuracy of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD with sodium (MELD-Na) scores in reflecting the clinical outcomes of patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of scores in predicting 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and PVT. METHODS: Post hoc analysis was performed in two prospective cohorts (NCT02457637 and NCT03641872). The correlation between the MELD/MELD-Na score and 90-day liver transplantation (LT)-free mortality was investigated in patients with cirrhosis with and without PVT. RESULTS: In this study, 2826 patients with cirrhosis were included, and 255 (9.02%) had PVT. The cumulative incidence of 90-day LT-free mortality did not significantly differ between patients with and without PVT (log-rank P = 0.0854). MELD [area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC), 0.649 vs. 0.842; P = 0.0036] and MELD-Na scores (AUROC, 0.691 vs. 0.851; P = 0.0108) were compared in patients with and without PVT, regarding the prediction of 90-day LT-free mortality. In MELD < 15 and MELD-Na < 20 subgroups, patients with PVT had a higher 90-day LT-free mortality than those without PVT (7.91% vs. 2.64%, log-rank P = 0.0011; 7.14% vs. 3.43%, log-rank P = 0.0223), whereas in MELD ≥ 15 and MELD-Na ≥ 20 subgroups, no significant difference was observed between patients with and without PVT. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of MELD and MELD-Na scores in predicting 90-day LT-free mortality of patients with cirrhosis was compromised by PVT. MELD < 15 or MELD-Na < 20 may underestimate the 90-day LT-free mortality in patients with PVT.

Lower platelet counts were associated with 90-day adverse outcomes in acute-on-chronic liver disease patients.

BACKGROUND: Chronic liver diseases (CLD), including cirrhosis and non-cirrhotic liver diseases, are globally widespread and create a serious disease burden. Platelet count is a clinically accessible and affordable prognostic indicator of liver disease. We investigated the relationship between platelet count and 90-day prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver diseases (AoCLD). METHODS: A total of 3,970 patients with AoCLD from the Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (CATCH-LIFE) study, which included two prospective multi-center cohorts, were included in the study. We grouped the patients according to the platelet count and analyzed the 90-day adverse outcome (death or liver transplantation). RESULTS: In the final analysis, 3,939 patients with AoCLD were included, of whom 2,802 had definite liver cirrhosis. The cumulative incidence of 90-day adverse outcomes in patients increased with the change of platelet group (log-rank P<0.001). From univariate and multivariate analyses, platelet count was inversely associated with the incidence of 90-day adverse outcomes in patients (P for trend <0.001). The group with platelet count <20×109/L had the highest risk (odds ratio, 3.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.59-6.25), with 21 (36.8%) of these patients having adverse outcomes within 90 days. The risk of a 90-day adverse outcome in patients increased by 5% for every 10×109/L decrease in platelet count below 210×109/L. CONCLUSIONS: Lower platelet count was associated with a higher incidence of 90-day adverse outcomes in patients with AoCLD. Even within the normal platelet count range, the risk of a 90-day adverse outcome in patients increased with decreases in platelet count. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02457637, NCT03641872.

[Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of treatments based on antiretrovirals for HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate long-term cost-effectiveness of nucleoside analogues and peg-interferon alfa-2a (peg-IFNa2a) for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients. METHODS: A multi-health slate Markov model was developed based on the disease progression pattern to estimate the long-term effect and medical expense of different treatments for HBeAg-negative CHB.Incremental cost-effectiveness analysis was then carried out. RESULTS: In comparison with no antiretroviral treatment, all of the antiretroviral treatments were capable of prolonging CHB patients' life years.In particular, entecavir plus adefovir dipivoxil combination therapy showed the best 2 year survival, with expected life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) being 19.59 years and 10.12 years, respectively, which were 1.46 years and 1.12 years better than with no antiretroviral treatment. The most cost-effective treatment for HBeAg-negative CHB was lamivudine plus adefovir dipivoxil rescue therapy, as it prolonged survival by 0.95 QALYs with an additional 15459 yuan; the incremental medical cost for gaining 1 QALY was 16273 yuan. CONCLUSION: Among the antiretroviral medicines applied as therapy for HBeAg-negative CHB in China, the most effective treatment is entecavir plus adefovir dipivoxil rescue therapy and the most cost-effective treatment is lamivudine plus adefovir dipivoxil rescue therapy.